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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a mere 55.4 per game on average).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Cade Otton comes in as one of the top pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.9 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 87th percentile.

As it relates to linebackers pass-rushing, New York's collection of LBs has been lousy since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

The projections expect Cade Otton to be a less important option in his team's passing attack this week (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.8% in games he has played).

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