My Account Log Out

reorder

Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -157 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (61.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

This week, Cade Otton is anticipated by the predictive model to slot into the 78th percentile among tight ends with 4.3 targets.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 2nd-best in football since the start of last season.

Cade Otton grades out as one of the top TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Cade Otton to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing game in this week's contest (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (18.3% in games he has played).

With a subpar 69.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (20th percentile) since the start of last season, Cade Otton has been as one of the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to TEs.

The Texans pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67%) to TEs since the start of last season (67.0%).

More Cade Otton Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™