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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.8%) vs. tight ends this year (78.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 31.5 per game) this year.
  • Cade Otton's 27.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 39.9.

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