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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect Cade Otton to notch 6.4 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among TEs.

Cade Otton has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this season (19.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (12.8%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

Cade Otton's pass-catching performance gotten better this season, totaling 4.6 adjusted receptions compared to a mere 2.9 last season.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (80.3%) versus TEs this year (80.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored this week, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.8% of their plays: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the model to run just 63.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

With a feeble 72.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (22nd percentile) this year, Cade Otton ranks as one of the most unreliable receivers in football among tight ends.

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