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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 134.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • This week, Cade Otton is expected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 89th percentile among TEs with 6.2 targets.
  • While Cade Otton has earned 12.9% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Tampa Bay's passing offense in this week's contest at 18.0%.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (81.1%) to TEs this year (81.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • After accruing 35.0 air yards per game last season, Cade Otton has regressed heavily this season, currently averaging 25.0 per game.
  • Cade Otton has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (32.0) this year than he did last year (44.0).
  • Cade Otton's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a significant decrease in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.6% mark.

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