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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The Buccaneers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.2 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Cade Otton to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense this week (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.5% in games he has played).
  • In regards to air yards, Cade Otton grades out in the lofty 86th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a superb 31.0 per game.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers offense to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Eagles, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.2 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Cade Otton's 49.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 70.7% rate.
  • Cade Otton's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, accumulating just 4.78 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.41 rate last year.

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