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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year, the feeble Dolphins defense has conceded a whopping 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-worst in the NFL.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.8%) vs. tight ends this year (78.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers as the 11th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Buccaneers to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 31.5 per game) this year.
  • After averaging 35.0 air yards per game last season, Cade Otton has seen a big decrease this season, now sitting at 23.0 per game.

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