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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Cade Otton is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.7 targets.
  • The Tampa Bay O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Saints pass defense has shown bad efficiency against TEs this year, allowing 7.93 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in football.
  • The Saints safeties profile as the 7th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Buccaneers being a huge 7.5-point favorite this week.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 53.1% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in football.
  • After accumulating 35.0 air yards per game last year, Cade Otton has significantly declined this year, now averaging 24.0 per game.
  • Cade Otton's 28.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 39.9.

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