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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast Cade Otton to total 5.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Cade Otton has notched quite a few less air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (35.0 per game).
  • Cade Otton's 28.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 39.9.
  • Cade Otton's 37.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a significant drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 44.0 mark.
  • Cade Otton's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his efficiency in space over last year's 5.6% mark.

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