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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread implies a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (62.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • The projections expect Cade Otton to earn 6.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • While Cade Otton has received 13.7% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Tampa Bay's pass game this week at 21.0%.
  • The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are forecasted by the model to call only 61.9 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • Cade Otton has put up quite a few less air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
  • Cade Otton's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a significant drop-off in his effectiveness in space over last year's 5.6% mark.

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