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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -4-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a focus on passing than their typical approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 62.5% of their downs: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (40.5 per game) this year.
  • In this week's contest, Cade Otton is expected by the model to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.6 targets.
  • Cade Otton's 32.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 26.1.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call just 63.1 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Buccaneers have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.
  • Cade Otton has totaled far fewer air yards this season (21.0 per game) than he did last season (29.0 per game).
  • Cade Otton's 64.4% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a material drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year's 69.8% figure.
  • Cade Otton's 5.9 adjusted yards per target this season shows a noteable drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 7.0 rate.

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