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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Cade Otton has run a route on 65.7% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

Cade Otton has been among the bottom TEs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 2nd percentile.

The New Orleans Saints defense has yielded the fewest receiving yards per game in football (just 29.0) versus TEs since the start of last season.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (56.7%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (56.7%).

The Saints defensive tackles project as the 6th-best DT corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.

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