Cade Otton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Cade Otton

NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 25, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The model projects this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 63.7 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Cade Otton has run a route on 65.1% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 80th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and their pass/run mix to lean 8.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.
Cade Otton has been among the weakest tight ends in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 2nd percentile.

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