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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+113/-151).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 66.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (76.8%) vs. TEs this year (76.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers defense has given up the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 39.0) to TEs this year.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.34 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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