Cade Otton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Cade Otton

NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 6:01 PM EST

Analysis

Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+113/-151).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 66.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (76.8%) vs. TEs this year (76.8%).

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers defense has given up the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 39.0) to TEs this year.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.34 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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