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Bucky Irving

Bucky Irving Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Bucky Irving Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (61.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 2nd-best in football since the start of last season.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 8.21 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.
  • The Texans safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Texans pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.4%) to RBs since the start of last season (79.4%).

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