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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 1.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against running backs last year, conceding 5.52 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the league.Last year, the formidable Falcons pass defense has yielded the least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing RBs: a measly 4.8 YAC.The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league last year in covering pass-catchers.
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