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Bryce Young Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

Bryce Young Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+620/-1000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -840 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.

At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Carolina Panthers.

Since the start of last season, the weak New England Patriots defense has surrendered a whopping 1.60 passing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the 8th-largest rate in the league.

The New England cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Panthers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.

The predictive model expects Bryce Young to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game near the end zone in this week's contest (11.2% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

Bryce Young is positioned as one of the least on-target QBs in the NFL this year with a 59.7% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 13th percentile.

More Bryce Young Player Props

Bryce Young TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

Bryce Young Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4