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Bryce Young

Bryce Young Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bryce Young Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+620/-1300).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Falcons defense has conceded a staggering 1.95 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the highest rate in the league.
  • Since the start of last season, the imposing Atlanta Falcons run defense has allowed a measly 0.58 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in the league.
  • The Falcons safeties rank as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Bryce Young to be much more involved in his team's running game near the end zone this week (13.4% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.0% in games he has played).
  • Bryce Young's 58.4% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteable regression in his throwing accuracy over last season's 61.9% figure.
  • Bryce Young has rushed for 0.38 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the highest figures in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (91st percentile).

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