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Bryce Young

Bryce Young TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

New York Jets vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Bryce Young TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -205 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -220.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.1% red zone pass rate.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.5 plays per game.
  • This year, the anemic Jets defense has given up a massive 2.00 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 7th-worst rate in football.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's unit has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers as the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by the model to call just 61.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually cause lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • In this game, Bryce Young is projected by the predictive model to total the 4th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 30.8.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

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