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Bryce Young

Bryce Young TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bryce Young TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+190/-265).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +195 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Falcons defense has conceded a staggering 1.95 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).
  • Bryce Young's 58.4% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteable regression in his throwing accuracy over last season's 61.9% figure.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Atlanta's collection of LBs has been fantastic since the start of last season, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.

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