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Bryce Young

Bryce Young TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Bryce Young TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (60.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Panthers.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • The Panthers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by the model to call just 63.7 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • This year, the strong Seahawks defense has allowed a meager 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-smallest rate in the league.
  • The Seahawks defense has allowed the 10th-fewest TDs through the air in the league: 1.33 per game this year.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 7th-best in football.

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