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Bryce Young

Bryce Young TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Bryce Young TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Panthers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.1% red zone pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • This year, the weak New Orleans Saints defense has been gouged for a colossal 1.62 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 10th-highest rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, New Orleans's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 8th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 11th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: fewest in football.

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