My Account Log Out
 
 
Bryce Young

Bryce Young TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Bryce Young TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-325/+225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -275 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +225.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Panthers grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Atlanta's collection of CBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 127.5 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Falcons, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 27.1 per game) this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in football vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year (66.3% Adjusted Completion%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™