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Bryce Young

Bryce Young Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bryce Young Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-113/+109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Bryce Young's running effectiveness (6.78 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (75th percentile when it comes to QBs).
  • Bryce Young ranks as one of the top QBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 1.92 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 75th percentile.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has produced the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up 4.73 adjusted yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 41.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).
  • The Falcons safeties rank as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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