Bryce Young Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Passing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 18, 2025

Updated Jan 3, 2026 11:22 PM EST

Analysis

Bryce Young Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 199.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 199.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The Carolina offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the league (245.0 per game) vs. the Buccaneers defense this year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency this year, surrendering 7.89 adjusted yards-per-target: the 9th-most in the NFL.
The Buccaneers linebackers project as the 6th-worst group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.9 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
With a weak 6.41 adjusted yards-per-target (16th percentile) this year, Bryce Young places among the worst per-play quarterbacks in football.

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