Bryce Young Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Panthers to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Panthers have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.5 plays per game.
As it relates to blocking for rushers (and the ramifications it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in football last year.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 6.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
The Saints linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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