Bryce Perkins Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Bryce Perkins

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Perkins

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Pass Attempts

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Bryce Perkins Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup QB Bryce Perkins this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Rams are a giant 16.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Bryce Perkins to attempt 37.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 10th-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone for it on 4th down a measly 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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