My Account Log Out
 
 
Brock Wright

Brock Wright Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Brock Wright Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+950/-1250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1050 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Brock Wright's 88.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks an impressive gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 80.1% figure.
  • With a fantastic ratio of 0.31 per game through the air (83rd percentile), Brock Wright places as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league among tight ends since the start of last season.
  • This year, the weak Minnesota Vikings defense has yielded a massive 0.57 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 7th-biggest rate in the NFL.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 10th-fewest touchdowns in football (0.71 per game) against the Vikings defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 54.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 6th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (47.2% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Lions.
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.6 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™