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Brock Wright

Brock Wright Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Brock Wright Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-1150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Brock Wright's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 80.1% to 83.3%.

With a terrific ratio of 0.33 per game through the air (88th percentile), Brock Wright stands among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to tight ends since the start of last season.

This year, the anemic Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been gouged for a monstrous 84.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the biggest rate in the NFL.

The Buccaneers defense has given up the most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to TEs: 0.67 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 56.9% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the worst in the league this year.

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