reorder

Brock Wright Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Brock Wright Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -385 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -450.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 61.0% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in football.

The projections expect Brock Wright to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack near the goal line in this week's game (13.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.9% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 54.0% rate of running the ball in the red zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most run-centric offense in the league in these situations has been the Lions.

Brock Wright's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 80.1% to 72.6%.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, grading out as the best in football.

More Brock Wright Player Props

Brock Wright TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Brock Wright Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13