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Brock Wright

Brock Wright Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Brock Wright Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-320).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -310 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -320.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • While Brock Wright has received 4.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Detroit's offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 12.0%.
  • With an exceptional ratio of 0.33 per game through the air (85th percentile), Brock Wright places among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to tight ends this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 14-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 46.4% red zone run rate.
  • In regards to air yards, Brock Wright ranks in just the 25th percentile among tight ends this year, with just 3.0 per game.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

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