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Brock Wright

Brock Wright Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Brock Wright Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+415/-450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -420 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -450.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Brock Wright to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the end zone in this game (11.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.4% in games he has played).
  • Brock Wright's 90.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a noteworthy boost in his receiving skills over last year's 80.1% figure.
  • With an excellent rate of 0.40 per game through the air (87th percentile), Brock Wright ranks among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to TEs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 8th-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (46.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to air yards, Brock Wright grades out in the measly 23rd percentile among TEs this year, averaging just 2.0 per game.
  • This year, the formidable Eagles defense has allowed a measly 66.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

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