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Brock Wright Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

Brock Wright Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+920/-940).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -770 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -940.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brock Wright's 90.0% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a remarkable gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 80.1% mark.

With an outstanding ratio of 0.40 per game through the air (89th percentile), Brock Wright ranks among the top receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to TEs this year.

This year, the poor Commanders pass defense has surrendered a whopping 82.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 6th-highest rate in the league.

The Commanders defense has given up the 4th-most touchdowns through the air in the league to tight ends: 0.67 per game this year.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Washington's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused offense in football near the goal line (47.2% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

More Brock Wright Player Props

Brock Wright TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

Brock Wright Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10