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Brock Wright

Brock Wright Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Brock Wright Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-167).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Brock Wright to be much more involved in his team's pass attack this week (10.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.0% in games he has played).
  • Brock Wright's 90.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a noteworthy boost in his receiving skills over last year's 80.1% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions rank as the 6th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.8% pass rate.
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • This year, the daunting Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded a paltry 69.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 4th-best rate in football.
  • The Eagles linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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