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Brock Wright

Brock Wright Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Brock Wright Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-230/+175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -225 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -230.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Brock Wright's 90.0% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a remarkable gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 80.1% mark.
  • This year, the poor Commanders pass defense has surrendered a whopping 82.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 6th-highest rate in the league.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Washington's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

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