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Brock Wright Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 61.0% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in football.The leading projections forecast Brock Wright to accrue 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Brock Wright's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 80.1% to 72.6%.Brock Wright's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, notching just 5.84 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.85 rate last season.Brock Wright profiles as one of the weakest tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.This year, the fierce Green Bay Packers defense has yielded a feeble 44.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.The Packers pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus tight ends this year, yielding 6.03 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the league.
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