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Brock Wright

Brock Wright Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Brock Wright Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Our trusted projections expect Brock Wright to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack in this contest (11.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.9% in games he has played).
  • The Giants safeties profile as the 8th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 14-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • In regards to air yards, Brock Wright ranks in just the 25th percentile among tight ends this year, with just 3.0 per game.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • Brock Wright's 6.1 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a noteable decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 7.9 rate.

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