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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+410/-590).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +550 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +410.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • Brock Purdy's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.2% to 70.0%.
  • With an excellent ratio of 2.00 per game (97th percentile), Brock Purdy stands among the top TD throwers in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the fierce Seattle Seahawks run defense has surrendered a puny 0.56 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-smallest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.78 seconds per snap.
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • With an awful ratio of only 0.00 rushing TDs per game (2nd percentile), Brock Purdy rates as one of the bottom running QBs in football this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year (67.2% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

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