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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+475/-560).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +500 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +475.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Brock Purdy to attempt 36.0 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 9th-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • Brock Purdy's 69.8% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a meaningful progression in his passing precision over last season's 66.2% rate.
  • Brock Purdy has been among the leading touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging a fantastic 1.89 per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.
  • This year, the weak Chicago Bears defense has conceded a colossal 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Chicago's group of DTs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

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