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Brock Purdy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

Brock Purdy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+550/-600).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -600.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Colts defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (38.9 per game) this year.

With an excellent 69.1% Adjusted Completion% (86th percentile) this year, Brock Purdy places as one of the most on-target QBs in the league.

With a terrific rate of 1.50 per game (82nd percentile), Brock Purdy places among the best TD throwers in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 4 points.

Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 125.6 plays on offense run: the lowest number among all games this week.

In this week's game, Brock Purdy is projected by the model to total the 4th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 34.1.

This year, the strong Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered a mere 1.29 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

More Brock Purdy Player Props

Brock Purdy TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

Brock Purdy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16