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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+810/-1200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +850 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +810.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 133.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Brock Purdy's 69.5% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a material progression in his throwing precision over last season's 66.2% figure.
  • With an impressive rate of 1.60 per game (88th percentile), Brock Purdy stands as one of the leading TD passers in the league this year.
  • With a dreadful ratio of just 0.00 TDs on the ground per game (2nd percentile), Brock Purdy stands as one of the worst rushing QBs in football this year.
  • The opposing side have run for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.45 per game) against the Cleveland Browns defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 26-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • This week, Brock Purdy is predicted by the projection model to average the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 31.4.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.9 per game) this year.

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