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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy TD Passes
Player Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+142/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -168 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Brock Purdy's passing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.2% to 70.2%.
  • Brock Purdy has been one of the leading touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 1.82 per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest level in the NFL vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the tough Eagles defense has surrendered a measly 0.82 passing touchdowns per game to opposing QBs: the smallest rate in the league.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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