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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Brock Purdy to be much more involved in his offense's ground game in this contest (16.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (11.4% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.78 seconds per snap.
  • Brock Purdy's 12.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a noteable decline in his running proficiency over last season's 21.0 mark.
  • Brock Purdy's 4.42 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season represents a noteable regression in his rushing ability over last season's 5.20 mark.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has produced the best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 3.76 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • The Seahawks defensive ends project as the 7th-best DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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