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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 4 points.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Indianapolis's collection of DTs has been lousy this year, projecting as the 8th-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 42.3% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 125.6 plays on offense run: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Brock Purdy's 10.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year reflects an impressive regression in his rushing talent over last year's 21.0 figure.
  • Brock Purdy's 4.27 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year shows an impressive reduction in his rushing ability over last year's 5.20 figure.

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