reorder

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+120/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 48.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

This year, the imposing Tennessee Titans run defense has surrendered a measly 4.97 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 26th-smallest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.

Brock Purdy has been much less involved in his team's ground game this season (8.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (15.4%).

Brock Purdy has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (6.0) this season than he did last season (21.0).

Brock Purdy's 3.23 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season illustrates a remarkable regression in his running ability over last season's 5.20 figure.

Brock Purdy profiles as one of the worst QBs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 0.55 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 8th percentile.

More Brock Purdy Player Props

Brock Purdy Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15