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Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-108/-111).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -111.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The 49ers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the 49ers to run on 48.6% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 133.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.Windy weather conditions (like the 26-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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After making up 15.4% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Brock Purdy has played a smaller part in the run game this season, now sitting at just 8.4%.Brock Purdy has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (21.0).Brock Purdy's ground efficiency has diminished this year, notching just 3.49 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.20 mark last year.With a terrible total of 0.63 yards-after-contact (8th percentile), Brock Purdy places among the weakest running QBs in football this year.This year, the porous Browns run defense has yielded a whopping 3.88 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing ground game: the 28th-highest rate in the league.
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