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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to run on 46.6% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • In registering a staggering 4.9 carries per game this year, Brock Purdy ranks among the top QBs in the league (83rd percentile) when talking about ground game workload.
  • Brock Purdy has been a more important option in his offense's ground game this season (16.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (6.9%).
  • Brock Purdy has rushed for many more yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (9.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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