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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Brock Purdy comes in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a fantastic 68.3% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 81st percentile.
  • Brock Purdy has been one of the most efficient passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 7.77 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 79th percentile.
  • This year, the shaky Titans defense has been torched for a colossal 74.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-highest rate in the NFL.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has shown weak efficiency this year, conceding 8.72 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-most in football.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Tennessee's group of CBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Brock Purdy to attempt 31.4 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Brock Purdy's 207.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year illustrates a meaningful decrease in his passing prowess over last year's 258.0 mark.

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