Brock Purdy Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Passing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 8, 2024

Updated Oct 28, 2024 2:46 AM EST

Analysis

Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 236.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 240.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 236.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and traits of each team, the projections expect this game (with an average of 26.04 seconds per play) will speed along at the 3rd-quickest pace among all games this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.0 plays per game.
With a stellar record of 262.0 adjusted passing yards per game (91st percentile), Brock Purdy places among the best quarterbacks in football this year.
This year, the deficient Cowboys defense has allowed the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a colossal 8.97 yards.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.06 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 3rd-most in the league.

Favors Under

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This week, Brock Purdy is forecasted by the projections to total the 8th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.1.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
Brock Purdy's 64.2% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a substantial drop-off in his passing accuracy over last year's 69.6% rate.

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