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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers

Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 231.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 235.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 231.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan.

With an impressive total of 260.0 adjusted passing yards per game (90th percentile), Brock Purdy ranks as one of the best quarterbacks in football this year.

This year, the poor Green Bay Packers defense has been torched for the 6th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a monstrous 5.25 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Brock Purdy's throwing precision has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 69.6% to 66.2%.

Brock Purdy's passing effectiveness has diminished this season, averaging just 8.49 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.54 mark last season.

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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